Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 5.184621 6.051569 6.985527 8.062579 9.266361 10.566352 12.072284
2025-04-13 3.587704 4.667653 5.927986 7.491907 9.364021 11.516442 14.160554
2025-04-20 2.850608 4.094304 5.652972 7.712538 10.322116 13.476918 17.533677
2025-04-27 2.441284 3.834824 5.695165 8.289445 11.735705 16.075084 21.860923
2025-05-04 2.076593 3.556303 5.653309 8.725953 12.984068 18.540092 26.182130
2025-05-11 1.677475 3.143956 5.353234 8.753618 13.663377 20.290262 29.674003
2025-05-18 1.304132 2.689151 4.912164 8.507388 13.912140 21.448976 32.419318
2025-05-25 1.023284 2.322169 4.540596 8.301825 14.172561 22.606913 35.191966
2025-06-01 0.830065 2.064783 4.300084 8.256678 14.642981 24.061301 38.419764
2025-06-08 0.669495 1.829849 4.056978 8.168693 15.022249 25.382475 41.496627
2025-06-15 0.603258 1.773924 4.123062 8.598135 16.234920 27.986944 46.529696
2025-06-22 0.504849 1.621485 3.983294 8.648945 16.827570 29.669222 50.258376
2025-06-29 0.383123 1.381414 3.639924 8.308266 16.764976 30.369825 52.604175
2025-07-06 0.281959 1.156590 3.284809 7.898387 16.543462 30.798256 54.546239
2025-07-13 0.249469 1.113714 3.316877 8.236981 17.649768 33.403881 59.953891
2025-07-20 0.240305 1.140053 3.510280 8.913817 19.399845 37.129649 67.243411
2025-07-27 0.221735 1.130187 3.616301 9.419468 20.864410 40.438431 73.976627
2025-08-03 0.183979 1.040037 3.512257 9.475138 21.498271 42.383605 78.593769
2025-08-10 0.141055 0.909343 3.280140 9.228459 21.541212 43.323680 81.612198
2025-08-17 0.108123 0.798909 3.077159 9.018358 21.631214 44.335879 84.767265
2025-08-24 0.086344 0.723893 2.955622 8.975609 22.037313 45.901376 88.867697
2025-08-31 0.067559 0.650021 2.821006 8.884875 22.336555 47.283041 92.695537
2025-09-07 0.062678 0.649816 2.911911 9.345567 23.780769 50.755788 100.135928